Caterpillar's Murmur
Good, Good
(WED) May 1st, 2024
6:48 p.m. As usual, horses that performed well in NHK Mile Cup have mostly finished above 4th place in their previous races. There were actually eight horses in the past ten years that have sunk below 5th place in their previous races, but performed well in NHK Mile Cup.
Most of these eight horses had finished above third place in the race before their step races. It's not easy for a horse to recover from cosecutive losses. The only two horses that hadn't were Clarity Sky, the 2015 winner and Kings of the Sun finishing third in 2014.
What the two horses had in common was that their last two races before NHK Mile Cup were both identically the same, Yayoisho and Satsukisho. Another sheer coincidence between Clarity Sky and King of the Sun was that they had both performed well in their race before Yayoisho. Clarity Sky had won the third place in Asahihai Futurity Stakes, while Kings of the Sun had finished second in Keiseihai.
Good, good. So I could start from crossing out horses that haven't finished above third place for three consecutive races.
The End
Caterpillar